Today just one chart illustrating how "Trend following approach" works:
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source: Stockcharts.com
Thursday, July 26, 2018
Monday, July 23, 2018
Seventh Issue Of Newsletter Has Been Dispatched
The seventh issue of my Newsletter has been just dispatched. Please, check your e-mail boxes and let me know if there is any problem.
Sunday, July 15, 2018
US Stocks - Is It A Healthy Bull Market?
Although NASDAQ is making new historical highs, the market internals do not support these tops. Look at the chart below:
source: Stockcharts.com
The lower panel of the chart shows the amount of stocks establishing new 52-week highs. Note that despite the index making new all-time highs (the blue arrrow on the upper panel of the chart), the amount of stocks doing the same is rapidly going down (the red arrow).
Well, it is not a typical pattern printed by a healthy bull market...
source: Stockcharts.com
The lower panel of the chart shows the amount of stocks establishing new 52-week highs. Note that despite the index making new all-time highs (the blue arrrow on the upper panel of the chart), the amount of stocks doing the same is rapidly going down (the red arrow).
Well, it is not a typical pattern printed by a healthy bull market...
Sunday, July 8, 2018
Are We In A Bear Or Bull Market In Precious Metals?
The gold market looks like being in a typical short-term bear cycle:
The green line indicates that since middle April 2018 the gold has been in a downward trend.
However, this chart says something different:
The chart shows a popular gold market performance measure, the gold / silver ratio. To remind you, during the furious bull markets in precious metals the ratio is going up. And vice versa - during a bear market it goes down. The message delivered by the above picture is quite simple - the precious metals market is in a bull cycle.
And the last chart:
This time the chart shows another popular performance measure, the GDX / gold ratio. Once again, during a typical bull market in precious metals GDX (or gold mining companies) outperform the gold itself. The blue up-trending line evidences that the precious metals market is in its bull cycle.
So the question is: "Are we in a bear or bull market in precious metals?"
The green line indicates that since middle April 2018 the gold has been in a downward trend.
However, this chart says something different:
The chart shows a popular gold market performance measure, the gold / silver ratio. To remind you, during the furious bull markets in precious metals the ratio is going up. And vice versa - during a bear market it goes down. The message delivered by the above picture is quite simple - the precious metals market is in a bull cycle.
And the last chart:
This time the chart shows another popular performance measure, the GDX / gold ratio. Once again, during a typical bull market in precious metals GDX (or gold mining companies) outperform the gold itself. The blue up-trending line evidences that the precious metals market is in its bull cycle.
So the question is: "Are we in a bear or bull market in precious metals?"
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