Paladin Energy is (or was?) one of the world's largest uranium producers. Now the company is generally non-existent - most recently Paladin shares have been withdrawn from exchanges.
Below I present a few charts showing the Paladin's road to zero.
Uranium prices:
source: stockcharts.com
Uranium prices topped in 2007, ahead of a big financial crisis. Then, in 2011, the Fukushima disaster set the downward trend in uranium prices. For many years...
Poor prices = poor investment and impairment charges
When uranium prices go down, a uranium producer generates lower cash flow from operations:
source: Simple Digressions
Poor prices have a negative impact on the value of assets. Hence, impairment charges:
source: Simple Digressions
Then, when there is no cash, a company has to borrow money to keep operations going:
Negative cash flow from operations + debt service + impairment charges are a poisonous mixture. As a result, a company's equity goes to zero...or even lower:
source: Simple Digressions
End of story
Oh, is it? Not really - now Paladin tries to restructure its debt and...sell its best asset (the Langer Heinrich mine)
No comments:
Post a Comment