Tuesday, March 6, 2018

Precious Metals Market - A Sign Of Improvement?

Since the cyclical top in gold prices (July 2016), the silver / gold ratio has been steeply going down:

source: Stockcharts.com

Well,  it is not a pattern the gold bugs are looking for. Generally, the silver / gold ratio and gold prices go in tandem - the opposite pattern supports a bearish thesis on precious metals. And since the last top in gold prices the pattern drawn by the silver / gold ratio was typical for a bear market or a consolidation phase in precious metals.

However, today we have the first sign of improvement - the silver / gold ratio is breaking above its resistance (the dotted red line on the chart below):

                                           source: stooq.pl

On the other hand, the gold bulls should be cautious because gold is still below its strong long-term resistance of $1,350 - $1,375 per ounce. Most recently every time gold was close to this resistance its prices were bouncing off and...dropping. So, be cautious and patient...

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